Thursday, March 19, 2009

Future of Pakistan ?

Throughout the centuries, it seems like Pakistan is always involved in conflict with other countries. Why is this, it’s hard to say- but what we do know is that through close examination Pakistan is a nation standing at a crossroads. There are five different paths, with Pakistan situated at the forking of the roads, and a national vehicle powered by- military influence, powerful landlords, and influential politicians. Pakistani citizens have the potential to form a democratic government and constructing a highway, independent from political hijackers. Until Pakistan settles on becoming a democratic nation, its future consists of one of the following outcomes-

 Merging with Chindia
 A confederate South Asian nation
 Back and Forth Pendulum trends
 Sense of Identity
 Implosion

Prelude to the Present

After Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto was assassinated on December 27, 2007, Pakistan was already considered a fallen nation due to the actions of extremist and dictator leadership. A few weeks following her untimely death, the democratic election voting was held successfully. In fact, the majority vote was in favor of a new democracy- leaving extremist and military supported groups behind in its wake. Hopefully this will become an increasing trend towards a government that’s more in tune with citizen’s issues and concerns.

Dr. Syed Abidi made a distinguished correlation between the political ebb and flow of Pakistan military and civilian leadership. He has observed seven full tides of political rule, starting in 2008.

According to observational analysis, Dr. Abidi concludes that the instability of Pakistani government is derived from an influctuation of the following factors: dictatorship through use of military power; empowered citizens banding together in protest and uprising against the national leader; greedy politicians backed by strong feudal support; and freedom fighters pushing towards democracy. Each factor has two contrasting sides, for instance:

•The Dictator represents true political agenda on one side, and on the other- abuse of political powers (e.g. violation of civil rights under guise of religious or political purpose, prolonging length of office term).

•Leaders representing the feudalism parties get greedier with power, and milk their positions for more than it’s worth.

•Empowered citizens become overly passionate with cause, resulting in either- loss of political insight, or increase in the health/wealth of the nation.

•Color blind freedom fighters with only one agenda in mind, and will do whatever it takes to achieve and maintain it- regardless of the increase/decrease of the nation’s success.

Now that we understand these factors, here’s more information on what powers the national vehicle:

Merging with Chindia

With hopes of becoming an active participant in G-8 annual summits, starting in 2020, Pakistan is searching for an opportunity to become affiliated with India and China (“Chindia”). It’s highly likely that Pakistan will favor partnering up with China, mostly because of their present display to further the nation’s economic growth by expanding nuclear power. By incorporating the Malaysian/Singapore model, the following must be achieved in order to become a recognized global power- development of realistic future goals, overthrowing the feudal government, submission to democracy, and getting a foot in the door by becoming a supplier for a global demand. In this case, India would not be able to gain economic benefits from the same model. India has all of the tools to become a recognized global power, however, it’s lacking in finances. In order to accomplish this, India would have to acquire heavy investments from outside sources in order to build a strong foundation, yet would become a threat for economical development of other countries around the world. In essence, for Pakistan to merge with Chindia, it’s a great accomplishment.

A confederate South Asian nation

Presently, Pakistan is afflicted with the same experiences as other politically torn nations, including- religious, economic, and political inequalities. These factors combined are the number one contributor to the slow economic growth and overlooked recognition for national achievements. The sad truth of it all is that in order to become united with other countries from all around the world, Pakistan must learn how to cooperate and integrate peacefully with everyone else. Perhaps if it can learn to let go of the past much in the same way that south Asians have learned to live, then it (Pakistan) can start to work on the future and all that it can benefit from this.

Back and Forth Pendulum trends

As mentioned earlier, there is a predictable ongoing trend of political party swings of control. Every seven to ten years or so, you’ll get a political shift in power. Apparently, despite the success of politicians guarding Pakistan from extremist fundamentalists, the PPP (Pakistan Peoples Party) still needs to come to terms with both the Pakistan Muslim League and the military. Peace cannot take place unless all citizens can come to a mutual agreement in Pakistan.

Sense of Identity

Unfortunately, Pakistan has no official position of defense or purpose and is often used for the benefit of other countries. Recently this nation’s military resources have been used in the fight against Russia and the jihadis of 9/11. It still hasn’t grown any powers of authority on whether or not it can deny aid, whether it’s for: territory, military, or fighting other countries’ battles. The true problem exists in lack of empowerment and true leadership. The citizens, as well as government officials, know what needs to be done; the dilemma ultimately lies with- “who will take on the responsibility to bring about change for Pakistan?”


With all of the turmoil centering Pakistan, the biggest global threat (affecting mostly the West), is implosion of this country. If Pakistan can’t sort through all of its differences in time, then it won’t be able to contain all of the terrorist activities operating within its borders. The end result would be this, if current events are allowed to continue- religious and tribal separation. Once this happens, Pakistan will not only backslide as being a “united” nation, but would also have to work 100 times harder to find a leader and get their priorities straight.

Hopes for a Democratic Future

The future of Pakistan is imminent, considering all of today’s political drama. It's certain that unless it can get its act together, Pakistan will fall apart as a nation and break-up into tribal territories. If they can fulfill the expectations of its citizens to become a peacefully united nation, without the necessity for military regulation, then Pakistan should be destined to flourish.

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